<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?>
<rss version="2.0"
	xmlns:content="http://purl.org/rss/1.0/modules/content/"
	xmlns:wfw="http://wellformedweb.org/CommentAPI/"
	xmlns:dc="http://purl.org/dc/elements/1.1/"
	xmlns:atom="http://www.w3.org/2005/Atom"
	xmlns:sy="http://purl.org/rss/1.0/modules/syndication/"
	xmlns:slash="http://purl.org/rss/1.0/modules/slash/"
	>

<channel>
	<title>Rachel&#039;s Musings &#187; Skeptical musings</title>
	<atom:link href="http://www.rabe.org/category/skeptical-musings/feed/" rel="self" type="application/rss+xml" />
	<link>http://www.rabe.org</link>
	<description>Sharing ideas and provocations on living single while happy. Reflecting on the social psychology of stereotypes and other cultural phenomena.</description>
	<lastBuildDate>Wed, 08 Feb 2012 06:15:20 +0000</lastBuildDate>
	<language>en</language>
	<sy:updatePeriod>hourly</sy:updatePeriod>
	<sy:updateFrequency>1</sy:updateFrequency>
	<generator>http://wordpress.org/?v=3.3.1</generator>
		<item>
		<title>Lonely Atheist&#8230;</title>
		<link>http://www.rabe.org/lonely-atheist/</link>
		<comments>http://www.rabe.org/lonely-atheist/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 02 Jul 2011 17:51:21 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Rachel</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Healing tools]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Science]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Skeptical musings]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[meaning]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[nonviolent communication]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[NVC]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.rabe.org/?p=2035</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[I am noticing just how lonely i am feeling right now &#8211; reacting to an email exchange i had within a now virtual community with people i&#8217;ve deeply connected with when we spend 9 days together. I am posting this &#8230; <a class="more-link" href="http://www.rabe.org/lonely-atheist/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p id="top" />I am noticing just how lonely i am feeling right now &#8211; reacting to an email exchange i had within a now virtual community with people i&#8217;ve deeply connected with when we spend 9 days together.  I am posting this here as well to increase my reach.  If my words (esp. in my first email) resonate with you, could you please <a href="http://www.rabe.org/about/contact/">contact me</a>.  I would love to connect with other atheists/skeptics who also value <em>Nonviolent Communication (NVC)</em>. (Here is a <a href="http://www.rabe.org/downloads/Feelings &#038; Needs Inventories.pdf">feelings &#038; needs inventory</a> that might be helpful when practicing <em>NVC</em>). (Also note the emotional shift i describe in the <a href="#third">third email</a>&#8230; The loneliness i felt originally is no longer there&#8230;)</p>
<hr/>
<em>(The first email)</em><br />
I am struggling with how to respond to this [email recommending "The Quantum Activist"], noticing that i want to respond and yet am scared to.  Bear with me as i am trying some scary honesty.  When i read references about quantum physics and consciousness, i feel irritable because i value honesty and transparency [addendum: It took me a while to understand the need for transparency: I would have no problem if the ideas in "What the Bleep" were presented as spiritual musings.  Rather they are presented as scientifically valid.].  I also feel scared because i value our connections and fear fumbling with my response. I don&#8217;t know how i can respond without reference to inconsistencies, without calling the scientific validity of the claims into question &#8211; and that does not seem very NVC&#8230; There is a temptation to hide, to just let it go as &#8220;not that important.&#8221;  It goes back, though, to the terrifying honesty i shared during one of the morning circles: In order for me to honor my own integrity, i choose to write &#038; send this email.</p>
<p>The honesty part that&#8217;s missing in the claims about quantum physics and consciousness:</p>
<p>The interpretations of quantum physics presented in movies like &#8220;What the Bleep,&#8221; which i have watched, and (presumably) &#8220;The Quantum Activist,&#8221; which i haven&#8217;t watched, are not supported by (almost all) quantum physicists or philosophers studying quantum mechanics. This includes at least one of the scientists featured in &#8220;What the Bleep,&#8221; David Albert (see <a href="http://skeptico.blogs.com/skeptico/2005/04/what_the_bleep_.html">here</a>).  I realize that Amit Goswami was trained as a physicist, yet his approach is<br />
more philosophical than physics. It is critiqued by a fellow physicist, Victor Stenger, in &#8220;<a href="http://www.librarything.com/work/8077819/book/75218388">Quantum Gods</a>&#8221; and in <a href="http://www.csicop.org/si/show/quantum_quackery/">this essay</a>. Also, the experiments in quantum mechanics are done at the scale of atoms or atom particles.  Extending these  experimental results to anything larger than an atom might not be valid (in the sense of <a href="http://allpsych.com/researchmethods/experimentalvalidity.html">external validity</a> &#8211; the generalizability of study results).</p>
<p>Research in psychology points toward the importance of unconscious decisioning (see work by <a href="http://www.yale.edu/psychology/FacInfo/Bargh.html">John Bargh</a>, <a href="http://people.virginia.edu/~tdw/">Timothy Wilson</a>, and <a href="http://georgelakoff.com/">George Lakoff</a>). There&#8217;s also considerable evidence for implicit biases that impact our judgments (stereotypes &#038; system justification tendency) (work by <a href="http://www.psych.nyu.edu/jost/">John Jost</a> and stuff around the <a href="https://implicit.harvard.edu/implicit/">Implicit Association Test</a>). I have been trying to understand what needs are behind the wish that quantum physics somehow proofs certain spiritual beliefs.  There seems to be something particularly &#8220;sexy&#8221; about it &#8211; maybe because it&#8217;s shrouded in mystery and some experimental results are mind-boggling. If we want a scientific grounding of the idea of connection, why not simply look at the <a href="http://richarddawkins.net/articles/4217">theory of evolution</a>?  Evolutionary, we are all related to every living thing on this Earth.  I wonder if the needs are hope and credibility, something that the theory of evolution might not hold despite its scientific grounding (see <a href="http://www.pbs.org/wgbh/nova/evolution/intelligent-design-trial.html">this Nova series</a>).  (I remember how inspired and hopeful i felt after &#8220;What the Bleep&#8221; until i started checking into JZ Knight and the credibility of the movie started to unravel).</p>
<p>I would enjoy hearing reactions, especially if you can share what needs are met for you when you watch movies like &#8220;The Quantum Activist.&#8221;  Also, i would welcome feedback on how i presented this, as i realize that i am using a lot of words&#8230;</p>
<hr />
<em>(The second email)</em><br />
Thank you for taking the time to respond! What is alive in me right now?  Well, let me start with sensations:  My hands are shaking and my eyes are tearing up.  I am feeling rather lonely.  I so long for the ability to relax into a belief of a God, of a benevolent universe.  I can&#8217;t.  I am also afraid that this inability will be dismissed as &#8220;the Ego loves the old.&#8221;  I would love to trust what you are saying!  Yet, it contradicts everything i know about science &#8211; including quantum mechanics &#8211; and about reality.  Yeah, actually, what is most alive in me is pain and hurt.  I feel hurt for not being heard, for being dismissed as closed minded &#8211; the reaction i feared the most.  Reading the word &#8220;credibility&#8221; directed toward me contributed to that pain and hurt because i would like to be acknowledged for the time and care i took to write the email. For example, I spent about an hour researching before sending the email, including looking at the movie&#8217;s website. </p>
<p>The other thing that is alive in me: Fatigue.  I didn&#8217;t sleep well.  Often waking up scared what reaction my email would garner.  I realize now that i am so longing to be heard and accepted as i am even if i chose not to watch the movie because there is enough evidence for me that contradicts the claims made in the movie (based on the summaries i read on their website). </p>
<p>I am also sad because of my inability to get my point across in a way that it could be heard.  I was wondering this morning why i feel so strongly about this.  Yes, there is shared reality &#8211; as <a href="http://www.michaelshermer.com/2005/01/quantum-quackery/">Michael Shermer</a> puts it: If Amit Goswami&#8217;s claims are correct, he could jump off a building without getting hurt.  And that is where i realized why i feel so strongly: Compassion.  If i get hurt jumping off a building in Goswami&#8217;s interpretation that is because i must have fallen into &#8220;conditioned choice,&#8221; which leaves me feeling dismayed because i value compassion, which to me includes looking at the whole picture and acknowledging that there are things &#8211; like physical reality &#8211; that limit our choices.  If we claim that there are unlimited choices, i fear that we end up blaming the victim because they were stuck in &#8220;conditioned choice.&#8221; </p>
<p>What did you &#8220;hear&#8221; me &#8220;saying&#8221;?  What did you read me writing? </p>
<hr />
<a name="third"></a><em>(Third email sent after receiving lots of empathy. I added this 4 hours after the original post&#8230;)</em><br />
Although i am noticing some reluctance to send yet another email wanting to respect people&#8217;s time &#038; space, i am choosing to send another one to celebrate with you the shift that occurred in me.  I am deeply grateful to the three people who reached out to me for helping me feel reconnected to this group, for hearing me, and for helping me see that deep down what we most long for is unconditional love.  </p>
<p>I know that there is still some mourning i want to do &#8211; mourning that i cannot lean into the unconditional love of a God/spirit/consciousness and the pain that has created in me.  However, i also know that i can lean into the beauty of the need for unconditional love itself!  How beautiful is that <img src='http://www.rabe.org/wp-includes/images/smilies/icon_smile.gif' alt=':-)' class='wp-smiley' /> . </p>
<p>Thank you! Thank you! Thank you! </p>
]]></content:encoded>
			<wfw:commentRss>http://www.rabe.org/lonely-atheist/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>Skepticism and Hope</title>
		<link>http://www.rabe.org/skepticism-and-hope/</link>
		<comments>http://www.rabe.org/skepticism-and-hope/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 21 Jun 2011 23:42:31 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Rachel</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Healing tools]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Science]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Skeptical musings]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Michael Nagler]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[nonviolent communication]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[NVC]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.rabe.org/?p=2022</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[One of my most powerful experiences at the recent intensive Nonviolent Communication training i attended came when i shared with the group that i felt uneasy when i hear references to religion and spirituality. I believe there is no God &#8230; <a class="more-link" href="http://www.rabe.org/skepticism-and-hope/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p id="top" />One of my most powerful experiences at the recent <a href="http://www.cnvc.org/training/international-intensive-trainings-iits.html">intensive Nonviolent Communication training</a> i attended came when i shared with the group that i felt uneasy when i hear references to religion and spirituality.  I believe there is no God (i am certain <a href="http://www.librarything.com/work/1326725/book/24167413">there is no God as described in the Judeo-Christian tradition</a>; i am pretty certain there is no god period).  I approach things <a href="http://rationalwiki.org/wiki/Skeptic">skeptically</a> and will ask for evidence that stands up to the scientific method especially if you make exceptional claims.  I was terrified to share this because i also value connections with others, even across difference.  I feared that my scary honesty would create distance.  The amazing thing was that it didn&#8217;t.  Several people expressed and showed that they felt closer to me after i shared my point of view.  I had a wonderful conversation with two other participants who i consider deeply religious (they might think of themselves as spiritual).  We discovered that underneath it all, we had the same needs: We wanted to have a sense of purpose and meaning in our lives.  They got that from their spiritual connection.  I felt the connection to something larger than me through the theory of evolution &#8211; and the powerful realization that i am related to grass. </p>
<p>Upon my return, i continued listening to Michael Nagler&#8217;s lectures on Nonviolence.  In the <a href="http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YN-9nloLv08&#038;list=PLD9592FA7CAC67331">third lecture</a> he makes some startling claims. Well, they startled me at least.  The one that prompted me to listen to this lecture again was that the <em>science</em> in &#8220;What the Bleep&#8221; is portrayed accurately.  Uhm.  No.  It&#8217;s not, at least it&#8217;s not according to one of the scientists included in the &#8220;What the Bleep&#8221; <a href="http://skeptico.blogs.com/skeptico/2005/04/what_the_bleep_.html">infomercial</a>.  For some reason, quantum physics is sexy and i haven&#8217;t fully understood yet exactly why Nagler brings it out &#8211; it has something to do with his claim that sciences other than physics have to deal with diversity.  Well, yeah.  You don&#8217;t have to go to quantum physics to make that point.  You could simply look at an <a href="http://www.librarything.com/work/42751/book/42949358">evolutionary biologist&#8217;s work</a>.  </p>
<p>Nagler also does not acknowledge that the demolition hypothesis of the towers on 9/11 has been <a href="http://www.canada.com/nationalpost/news/story.html?id=2bcf9f07-6407-4b2c-9f4e-7d4a15afcb98&#038;k=46273">debunked by most scientists</a>, except for a handful of conspiracy theorists.  It wasn&#8217;t a governmental coverup that kept this story out of the limelight.  It plain did not make much sense &#8211; even though it came from a physicist. </p>
<p>Finally, his most startling claim: Darwin was wrong.  Nagler hastens to add that he doesn&#8217;t deny evolution but he does not specify exactly what he thinks Darwin was wrong about.  Listening between the lines, it seems that Nagler claims that Darwin thought competition was at the heart of evolution.  It wasn&#8217;t actually Darwin who emphasized the <a href="http://www.iamthedoc.com/site/index.php?sf_ahah=profile&#038;u=853">&#8220;survival of the fittest&#8221;</a>.  That emphasis is <a href="http://www.thedarwinproject.com/about/about.html">one of the myths</a> that surrounds the theory of evolution &#8211; a myth that is all too helpful in maintaining the current status quo. </p>
<p>I&#8217;ve tried to figure out why all these claims bother me so much.  Yes, there&#8217;s a wish for honesty, yet, this doesn&#8217;t seem to fully capture it.  When i listened to the <a href="http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8IYos-E3xT4&#038;list=PLD9592FA7CAC67331">next lecture</a>, i gained some clarity around my reactions. Nagler talks about the three consequences of the scientific view: Scarcity, determinism, and separateness.  He ties determinism to not taking responsibility for our action, for example how the idea of corporate personhood takes away any personal responsibilities of the executive team.  While i completely agree with Nagler that this lack of responsibility is a huge problem and that the personhood of corporations has created many of the issues we are facing, i got lost that this is tied to determinism.  For one, claiming that consciousness is an expression of matter rather than a separate entity does not strictly lead to determinism.  The manifestation of consciousness is likely much more involved than a straight line, so the claim &#8220;my neurons made me do it&#8221; won&#8217;t hold up even if we can ultimately reduce consciousness to something material.  I then realized what bothered me the most in Nagler&#8217;s arguments:  He was reinforcing us-vs-them thinking by splitting science into the &#8220;old&#8221; science (the Newtonian model, which leads to determinism according to Nagler) and the &#8220;new&#8221; science (quantum physics, which doesn&#8217;t).  Old science is bad.  New science is good.  This creates an artificial separateness!  And it&#8217;s actually scientifically incorrect: Quantum mechanics does not replace Newtonian physics, just like the theory of relativity didn&#8217;t replace it.  It&#8217;s a matter of scale: Quantum physics explains some things better than Newtonian physics, yet there is a lot that the &#8220;old&#8221; science <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Quantum_mechanics#Applications">explains very well</a>. (Additionally, physicist express worries about using quantum mechanics to say anything about consciousness &#8211; see the <a href="http://skeptico.blogs.com/skeptico/2005/04/what_the_bleep_.html">Albert quote</a>).  </p>
<p>And then i remember to look for the underlying needs:  Nagler does not have a need for &#8220;bashing science.&#8221;  He is interested in healing this world, giving us hope that nonviolence is possible, and focusing on interdependence.  He is trying to find paradigms within science that can provide a framework for this. These underlying needs, including his dream, i share with Nagler. I disagree with the effectiveness of his strategy to use a pop-culture interpretation of quantum mechanics as the foundation.  Further, dividing science into good and bad, ironically reinforces the separateness Nagler is so worried about.  Inclusion of all the voices, especially those which might on the surface support the current dominant cultural paradigm, could provide a more credible foundation for a science of nonviolence &#8211; and ultimately for shifting our current cultural paradigm away from violence to nonviolence.  </p>
<p><em>Alternative Sources for Learning about Nonviolence</em><br />
Steve&#8217;s comment below reminded me that there are other options to learn about nonviolence than through Nagler&#8217;s work.  Here are some options &#8211; please feel free to add more in the comments, i will compile them into this list: </p>
<ul>
<li>Miki Kashtan&#8217;s <a href="http://www.nonviolentcommunication.com/freeresources/2011_06-enl.htm">Gandhian Principles for Everyday Living</a> (the link takes you to the fifth part, which contains references to the first 4 parts)</li>
<li><a href="http://www.nonviolent-conflict.org/" title="http://www.nonviolent-conflict.org/" rel="nofollow">The International Center for Nonviolent Conflict</a></li>
<li><a href="http://echenoweth.faculty.wesleyan.edu/research-and-data/wcrw/">Why Civil Resistance Works: The Strategic Logic of Nonviolent Conflict</a></li>
</ul>
]]></content:encoded>
			<wfw:commentRss>http://www.rabe.org/skepticism-and-hope/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>2</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>Religious-Wrong Women</title>
		<link>http://www.rabe.org/religious-wrong-women/</link>
		<comments>http://www.rabe.org/religious-wrong-women/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 08 Jul 2010 18:36:50 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Rachel</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Activism]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Skeptical musings]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.rabe.org/?p=1551</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[First I read about the lack of women in the skeptics movement (I never did figure out how to log in to leave a comment there. I was going to point out that instead of listening to us women, the &#8230; <a class="more-link" href="http://www.rabe.org/religious-wrong-women/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p id="top" />First I read about the lack of women in the <a href="http://scienceblogs.com/pharyngula/2010/06/the_woman_problem.php">skeptics movement</a> (I never did figure out how to log in to leave a comment there.  I was going to point out that instead of listening to us women, the guys need to look at themselves to see what they might be doing to create an exclusionary group. Sexism isn&#8217;t just a women&#8217;s problem&#8230; But that&#8217;s not the topic of this post&#8230;).  Then I read about the <a href="http://www.alternet.org/story/147436/why_women_dominate_the_right-wing_tea_party">masses of women in the Tea Party</a>.  My reaction: WTF is wrong with us?!?  Then that weird feeling of having seen this before started creeping up.  No, I don&#8217;t mean having seen this before historically &#8211; we have plenty of times, as Susan Faludi <a href="http://www.amazon.com/gp/product/0307345424/ref=as_li_tf_tl?ie=UTF8&#038;tag=yoliisaga-20&#038;linkCode=as2&#038;camp=1789&#038;creative=9325&#038;creativeASIN=0307345424">already pointed out</a><img src="http://www.assoc-amazon.com/e/ir?t=yoliisaga-20&#038;l=as2&#038;o=1&#038;a=0307345424" width="1" height="1" border="0" alt="" style="border:none !important; margin:0px !important;" />.  I mean the pattern when the oppressed are better at carrying the party line than the oppressor.  Where is that seen?  Yupp. Torture cases.  It&#8217;s called the <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Stockholm_syndrome">Stockholm Syndrome</a>.</p>
<blockquote><p>
In psychology, Stockholm syndrome is a term used to describe a paradoxical psychological phenomenon wherein hostages express adulation and have positive feelings towards their captors that appear irrational in light of the danger or risk endured by the victims.
</p></blockquote>
<p>I&#8217;ve also been listening to <a href="http://events.lapl.org/podcasts/PodcastView.aspx?pid=242">George Lakoff</a> talk about how we learn to frame things.  If we grow up with the authoritarian father model, which most religious people do, we are more likely to be conservative and support the status quo even if that is contrary to what would be best for us.  Our neurological wiring doesn&#8217;t allow us to act any other way (unless we learn to counteract it!).  The fear of questioning plays a big role here as well: If these women would start asking questions, everything in their life would be up for grasp.  That&#8217;s a scary place to be.  It&#8217;s a lot easier to put on blinders and spout what your oppressors have fed you.  </p>
<p>There are also other ways for the system to stay in place.  One of those are benevolent stereotypes, like benevolent sexism.  Women are nurturant, loving, god-fearing etc.  Sounds positive, right?  Well, only if you don&#8217;t realize that these stereotypes then prevent us from doing things like run a company&#8230; As positive as they sound, they still are stereotypes and they just happen to be characteristics that are culturally less valued.  Bread crumbs thrown by the oppressors to the oppressed in the hopes of keeping things as they are.  And it seems to be working.  The big question is: How do we cut through all this nonsense and change the status quo to create a society that truly values everybody?  Somehow we need to change the authoritarian father frame&#8230; </p>
]]></content:encoded>
			<wfw:commentRss>http://www.rabe.org/religious-wrong-women/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>9</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>It&#8217;s (almost) all unconscious</title>
		<link>http://www.rabe.org/its-almost-all-unconscious/</link>
		<comments>http://www.rabe.org/its-almost-all-unconscious/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 05 May 2010 01:26:52 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Rachel</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[On research]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Skeptical musings]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.rabe.org/?p=1450</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[There is no question in my mind (whatever that might be) that most of what is happening in our behavior is driven by unconscious decisions (if we can even call them decisions). There is a lot of evidence for that &#8230; <a class="more-link" href="http://www.rabe.org/its-almost-all-unconscious/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p id="top" />There is no question in my mind (whatever that might be) that most of what is happening in our behavior is driven by unconscious decisions (if we can even call them decisions).  There is a lot of evidence for that (for an interesting review check out <a href="http://www.amazon.com/gp/product/0674013824/ref=as_li_tf_tl?ie=UTF8&#038;tag=yoliisaga-20&#038;linkCode=as2&#038;camp=1789&#038;creative=9325&#038;creativeASIN=0674013824">this book</a><img src="http://www.assoc-amazon.com/e/ir?t=yoliisaga-20&#038;l=as2&#038;o=1&#038;a=0674013824" width="1" height="1" border="0" alt="" style="border:none !important; margin:0px !important;" /> or <a href="http://pps.sagepub.com/content/4/4/384.abstract">this article</a>).  <a href="http://fora.tv/2008/06/20/George_Lakoff_on_The_Political_Mind">George Lakoff</a> talks about this a lot, too.  He is suggesting that to assume that most of our behavior is rationally driven reflects what he calls the 18th century brain &#8211; and that is based on wrong assumptions, or rather assumptions that science has proved wrong. In his book, <a href="http://www.amazon.com/gp/product/B0020MMBMG/ref=as_li_tf_tl?ie=UTF8&#038;tag=yoliisaga-20&#038;linkCode=as2&#038;camp=1789&#038;creative=9325&#038;creativeASIN=B0020MMBMG">The Political Mind</a><img src="http://www.assoc-amazon.com/e/ir?t=yoliisaga-20&#038;l=as2&#038;o=1&#038;a=B0020MMBMG" width="1" height="1" border="0" alt="" style="border:none !important; margin:0px !important;" />, Lakoff writes: <span id="more-1450"></span></p>
<blockquote><p>But what most people are not aware of, and are sometimes shocked to discover, is that most of our thought – an estimated 98 percent – is not conscious.
</p></blockquote>
<p>Somehow that statement peeked my curiosity.  &#8220;Thought&#8221; in philosophy is generally considered conscious &#8211; pretty much by definition.  So, it seemed a bit odd. Plus how can they determine this percentage anyways? I decided to take a look at the underlying research.  The footnote referred to another <a href="http://www.amazon.com/gp/product/0465070698/ref=as_li_tf_tl?ie=UTF8&#038;tag=yoliisaga-20&#038;linkCode=as2&#038;camp=1789&#038;creative=9325&#038;creativeASIN=0465070698">book</a><img src="http://www.assoc-amazon.com/e/ir?t=yoliisaga-20&#038;l=as2&#038;o=1&#038;a=0465070698" width="1" height="1" border="0" alt="" style="border:none !important; margin:0px !important;" />. Not exactly what I expected &#8211; books aren&#8217;t generally peer-reviewed. But, okay, I figured I could see what that book says.  Fortunately, the page in the book I needed to take a look at is available online. And guess what!  Yes, this book refers to two other books!  <a href="http://www.amazon.com/gp/product/1590510178/ref=as_li_tf_tl?ie=UTF8&#038;tag=yoliisaga-20&#038;linkCode=as2&#038;camp=1789&#038;creative=9325&#038;creativeASIN=1590510178">One</a><img src="http://www.assoc-amazon.com/e/ir?t=yoliisaga-20&#038;l=as2&#038;o=1&#038;a=1590510178" width="1" height="1" border="0" alt="" style="border:none !important; margin:0px !important;" /> of them again had the relevant page available (<a href="http://books.google.com/books?id=gjw6PtycYrQC&#038;lpg=PP1&#038;dq=the%20brain%20and%20the%20inner%20world&#038;pg=PP1#v=onepage&#038;q=In%20a%20review%20of%20the%20scientific%20evidence&#038;f=false">page 84</a> as cited in Rock). Phew. And that finally had a reference to an article: </p>
<blockquote><p>
In a review of the scientific evidence pertaining to this question (and related matters), <a href="http://psycnet.apa.org/journals/amp/54/7/462/">Bargh and Chartrand (1999)</a> concluded that 95% of our actions are unconsciously determined. This way of measuring consciousness therefore suggests that it accounts for only 5% of our behavior.
</p></blockquote>
<p>The article is a fascinating read (a PDF version is <a href="http://www.yale.edu/acmelab/articles/bargh_chartrand_1999.pdf">here</a>)!  But, my source hunting wasn&#8217;t done yet as Bargh and Chartrand made yet another reference: </p>
<blockquote><p>
Tice and Baumeister concluded after their series of eight such experiments [on ego depletion] that because even minor acts of self-control, such as making a simple choice, use up this limited self-regulatory resource, such conscious acts of self-regulation can occur only rarely in the course of one&#8217;s day. Even as they were defending the importance of the conscious self for guiding behavior, Baumeister et al. (<a href="http://psycnet.apa.org/index.cfm?fa=buy.optionToBuy&#038;id=1998-01923-011&#038;CFID=8583518&#038;CFTOKEN=52243051">1998, p. 1252</a>; also <a href="http://books.google.com/books?id=K_GNA4Du0tYC&#038;lpg=PA75&#038;ots=TUSZRzUbuP&#038;dq=Consciousness%2C%20free%20choice%2C%20and%20automaticity&#038;lr&#038;pg=PA75#v=onepage&#038;q&#038;f=false">Baumeister &#038; Sommer, 1997</a>) concluded it plays a causal role only 5% or so of the time.
</p></blockquote>
<p>And what does it say on page 1252 of that article?  It&#8217;s the first page of the article, which seems a bit odd and then it says this: </p>
<blockquote><p>
Even if it were shown that 95% of behavior consisted of lawful, predictable responses to situational stimuli by automatic processes, psychology could not afford to ignore the remaining 5%.
</p></blockquote>
<p><em>Even if?!?</em> That&#8217;s not how you start a conclusion!  That is how you start a hypothetical statement! So, the claim that 5% of our thoughts are conscious/consciousness/controlled by our conscious self is based on a hypothetical statement!  I haven&#8217;t checked out the sources that aren&#8217;t available online (I have requested the books through my library) but this surely does not bode well&#8230;  </p>
<p>Now, Timothy Wilson writes (<a href="http://www.amazon.com/gp/product/0674013824/ref=as_li_tf_tl?ie=UTF8&#038;tag=yoliisaga-20&#038;linkCode=as2&#038;camp=1789&#038;creative=9325&#038;creativeASIN=0674013824">on p. 24</a><img src="http://www.assoc-amazon.com/e/ir?t=yoliisaga-20&#038;l=as2&#038;o=1&#038;a=0674013824" width="1" height="1" border="0" alt="" style="border:none !important; margin:0px !important;" />):</p>
<blockquote><p>
[...] our five senses are taking in more than 11,000,000 pieces of information. Scientists have determined this number by counting the receptor cells each sense organ has and the nerves that go from these cells to the brain [...] The most liberal estimate is that people can process consciously about 40 pieces of information per second.
</p></blockquote>
<p>Oh, boy. That references a <a href="http://www.amazon.com/gp/product/0140230122/ref=as_li_tf_tl?ie=UTF8&#038;tag=yoliisaga-20&#038;linkCode=as2&#038;camp=1789&#038;creative=9325&#038;creativeASIN=0140230122">book</a><img src="http://www.assoc-amazon.com/e/ir?t=yoliisaga-20&#038;l=as2&#038;o=1&#038;a=0140230122" width="1" height="1" border="0" alt="" style="border:none !important; margin:0px !important;" />&#8230; I am not going to track this one down.  I don&#8217;t know if this will dissolve just like the Lakoff quote. I guess, the lesson learned is to always track back numbers to the original source &#8211; you might be surprised as to what you&#8217;ll find there!  </p>
<p>Where does this leave us?  Probably the best conclusion is to say that we really have no clue how much of our activity is conscious and how much isn&#8217;t.  Well, we actually don&#8217;t even really know what <a href="http://www.amazon.com/gp/product/0192805851/ref=as_li_tf_tl?ie=UTF8&#038;tag=yoliisaga-20&#038;linkCode=as2&#038;camp=1789&#038;creative=9325&#038;creativeASIN=0192805851">consciousness</a><img src="http://www.assoc-amazon.com/e/ir?t=yoliisaga-20&#038;l=as2&#038;o=1&#038;a=0192805851" width="1" height="1" border="0" alt="" style="border:none !important; margin:0px !important;" /> is. It is clear that a lot more happens without our control than we realize &#8211; or ever would like to admit. But we probably can&#8217;t put an exact number on that. And make sure to check your sources. All the way to the end. Consciously. </p>
<p><i>A big hat tip goes to <a href="http://www.belladepaulo.com/">Bella DePaulo</a> who has been following claims back to their source for a long time and found all sorts of ones that were not supported by the original research.</i></p>
]]></content:encoded>
			<wfw:commentRss>http://www.rabe.org/its-almost-all-unconscious/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>1</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>Self-Control and Psychological Experiments</title>
		<link>http://www.rabe.org/self-control-and-psychological-experiments/</link>
		<comments>http://www.rabe.org/self-control-and-psychological-experiments/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sun, 14 Feb 2010 05:33:53 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Rachel</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Science]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Skeptical musings]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.rabe.org/?p=1424</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[In a recent interview of David Brooks by Charlie Rose, Brooks recounts experiments done by Walter Mischel. Mischel, starting several decades ago, presented 3- and 4-year old kids with the choice of eating a marshmallow now or receiving another one &#8230; <a class="more-link" href="http://www.rabe.org/self-control-and-psychological-experiments/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p id="top" />In a recent interview of <a href="http://www.charlierose.com/view/interview/10852">David Brooks by Charlie Rose</a>, Brooks recounts experiments done by <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Walter_Mischel">Walter Mischel</a>.  Mischel, starting several decades ago, presented 3- and 4-year old kids with the choice of eating a marshmallow now or receiving another one 10 minutes later if they could resist eating that marshmallow in front of them.  Mischel noticed by following these kids as they grew up that those who resisted the temptation of instant gratification were more likely to be successful later on. He posits that there might be something genetic going on.  It certainly has some deterministic overtones if we can predict a person&#8217;s life success based on their consumption of a marshmallow when they weren&#8217;t even in kindergarten.  And it is bothersome that other factors don&#8217;t seem to have an impact even though Mischel is cited in a <a href="http://www.newyorker.com/reporting/2009/05/18/090518fa_fact_lehrer">New Yorker article</a> as saying that </p>
<blockquote><p>
“In general, trying to separate nature and nurture makes about as much sense as trying to separate personality and situation. [...] The two influences are completely interrelated.”
</p></blockquote>
<p>Is this experiment valid?  Can we really conclude from it that kids who have mastered self-control at age 4 will be more successful? </p>
<p>Considering the validity of research within psychology, I usually look at three things:</p>
<ul>
<li>Sample size</li>
<li>Length of study</li>
<li>Presence of a control group</li>
</ul>
<p>Exploratory research often has small sample sizes.  We can make some inferences based on that research but they are on shaky ground.  What holds for 20 people might not hold for 1000s.  I suspect that the sample sizes in these experiments were small.  </p>
<p>Study length varies from point-in-time to longitudinal, sometimes over decades.  As <a href="http://www.amazon.com/gp/product/0312340826/ref=as_li_ss_tl?ie=UTF8&#038;tag=yoliisaga-20&#038;linkCode=as2&#038;camp=1789&#038;creative=390957&#038;creativeASIN=0312340826">Bella DePaulo</a><img src="http://www.assoc-amazon.com/e/ir?t=&#038;l=as2&#038;o=1&#038;a=0312340826" width="1" height="1" border="0" alt="" style="border:none !important; margin:0px !important;" /> has pointed out eloquently, using point-in-time studies for psychological research doesn&#8217;t give us results to stand on.  Mischel&#8217;s study is clearly longitudinal, which gives it more credibility. </p>
<p>I think Mischel&#8217;s study falls apart with the lack of control groups.  Control groups are important if we want to ensure that there <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mediation_(statistics)">aren&#8217;t other variables</a> that might be impacting the outcome &#8211; suggesting that what we think is the cause (self-control) is really just another symptom of something else.  It is plausible that the same environmental factors that increased the self-control in 4-year olds also contributed to their increased success.  Maybe they had more involved parents; maybe they had access to better education.  Or maybe &#8211; something suggested by the researchers themselves &#8211; these kids had developed skills that helped them distract themselves from the marshmallow.  That might not have anything to do with self-control.  It could simply be cunning calculation: Two marshmallows are better than one, after all. </p>
<p>There certainly is something to be said for self-control but I caution to jump to conclusions based on these experiments.  Clearly, they are not <a href="http://www.rabe.org/is-it-the-system-or-personal-responsibility/">investigating systemic impacts but are solely looking at personal responsibility</a>.  </p>
<p><em>Addendum:</em>A <a href="http://www.ucl.ac.uk/gheg/marmotreview/Documents">new British report on health inequalities</a> also seems to underscore factors beyond genes in things like health inequalities. As the latest <a href="http://toomuchonline.org/tmweekly.html">Too Much newsletter</a> summarizes:</p>
<blockquote><p>
But British health inequalities go far beyond this contrast between rich and poor. The rich live longer and healthier lives than the near rich, the near rich longer and healthier than the middle-income. Health in the UK follows, in other words,  a &#8220;social gradient.&#8221; The lower a person&#8217;s social status, the worse a person&#8217;s health.<br />
[...]<br />
We typically blame poor health on unhealthy behaviors. Or bad genes. Or a lack of access to health care. None of these factors, as important as they may be, turn out to statistically explain why some among us live lives so much longer and healthier than others. What does?</p>
<p>Says the Marmot Review: &#8220;Social and economic differences in health status reflect, and are caused by, social and economic inequalities in society.&#8221;</p>
<p>If we truly want to tackle health inequalities, advises the Marmot commission, we need to address &#8220;inequalities in the conditions of daily life and the fundamental drivers that give rise to them: inequities in power, money, and resources.&#8221;
</p></blockquote>
<p>I wonder if such inequalities also impact our ability to delay eating a marshmallow&#8230; </p>
]]></content:encoded>
			<wfw:commentRss>http://www.rabe.org/self-control-and-psychological-experiments/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>The Perils of Folk Wisdom</title>
		<link>http://www.rabe.org/the-perils-of-folk-wisdom/</link>
		<comments>http://www.rabe.org/the-perils-of-folk-wisdom/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 17 Oct 2009 17:44:11 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Rachel</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Humanism]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Skeptical musings]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.rabe.org/?p=1330</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Yesterday, two people told me that &#8220;people are talking&#8221; that there will be an earthquake soon. It scared me. Am I ready for an earthquake? Maybe I should review the meeting spots. Maybe I should&#8230; Then it started to puzzle &#8230; <a class="more-link" href="http://www.rabe.org/the-perils-of-folk-wisdom/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p id="top" />Yesterday, two people told me that &#8220;people are talking&#8221; that there will be an earthquake soon. It scared me. Am I ready for an earthquake? Maybe I should review the meeting spots. Maybe I should&#8230; Then it started to puzzle me. We just had an <a href="http://www.shakeout.org/drill/">earthquake drill</a>. No, that wasn&#8217;t it, one person assured me. It&#8217;s the weather.  It has been rather humid here lately and that&#8217;s what the weather was like before the 1989 earthquake. I didn&#8217;t think to ask: How often has the weather been humid between now and 1989 and no earthquake happened?  As I continued to reflect, I realized the perils of folk wisdom: It scares people and it gives false hope of control.  Reality is that I live in the San Francisco Bay Area.  Earthquakes happen here, humid weather or not.  And reality is that earthquakes are very difficult to predict.  That&#8217;s why we have the relatively useless official forecast that a big one will hit sometime between now and the next 30 years &#8211; something like that, maybe it&#8217;s just 20 years but, still, it doesn&#8217;t help me to plan to move to non-earthquake country tomorrow, so that I miss the quake on Tuesday, and can come back a week from Tuesday after the essential services are restored. So, why do people think they can predict earthquakes by the humidity (or how the bells ring)?  Well, it probably goes along with the line written on the sidewalk in chalk: &#8220;Jesus is coming!&#8221; He has been expected for the last 2000 years give or take a few decades. Any guest who is that late, shouldn&#8217;t really be welcome anymore.  So it is with humid weather:  If I say earthquakes come with humid weather, chances are that one day an earthquake does indeed happen when it&#8217;s humid.  This goes back to the difficulty of predicting earthquakes: There is a very large random element in the prediction, so almost anything is possible.  </p>
<p>Bottom line: If you live in an area where earthquakes are likely, you live in an area where earthquakes are likely. Unfortunately, that&#8217;s not very useful, so the best thing is to be always prepared, at least a little.  Know <a href="http://www.shakeout.org/dropcoverholdon/">what to do</a>, know where to go. Have food, water, and medication supplies for at least 72 hours.  And then stop worrying about it!  If it gets humid, put on a t-shirt.  I&#8217;ve heard rumors that they sell those even in San Francisco&#8230;</p>
]]></content:encoded>
			<wfw:commentRss>http://www.rabe.org/the-perils-of-folk-wisdom/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>1</slash:comments>
		</item>
	</channel>
</rss>

